Like so many other things, we have to consider the source before deciding how valid the information can be.
I have no truthfulness in polls. We have had to many mistakes in the U.S. I don't trust anything with the government right now. They could be making up the opinion so easy. ( check out the 2000 president election.)
Politicians say that they are nonsense while anxiously reading them. I just laugh.
Assuming, by your profile, that you live in the USA, I would say almost know trust in those polls. I think they a poll a small( read wealthy) segment of the population and say it speaks for everyone. Kinda funny how I never have seen anyone polling people in the hood.
polls are done by phone, random generated numbers
I have a real isssue with the "randomness" of those numbers. Are you telling me, at 43 years old, my # never "randomly" came up. Or did the address that matched that # was not to their liking?
any idea how many phone numbers there are in the states? i haven't been called either, addresses do not come up, numbers dialed by computer
Of course they are an attempt to sway the public. If the results aren't what the organization wants the public to know it won't be released. Phone polls being one of the most unscientific ways to get a public's opinion. There are people who hold firm opinions but they aren't going to share it with a stranger on the phone. My daughter worked for a phone pollster and was frustrated at how many people refused to participate in the poll even while expressing a certain opinion.
I think that some pollsters do a better job than others, in terms of wording their questions...but ultimately you are left with the possibility that even with your planned randomness you have gotten a sample which does not accurately represent society. Statistically speaking the randomness of your sample should work but it doesn't always...and sometimes people are disinclined to share their opinions honestly. I think that the pollsters are trying for accuracy but can end up being blindsided...left with egg on their faces
many times, and if the sample is small it is easy to manipulate the results
I think you're right and I think that has been shown in several elections...that the "Experts" are often full of it and are dead wrong about how people really feel and believe. I also think that politicians operate in an echo chamber and believe what they and their followers believe is what everyone believes. It turns out that they are less people on the left and the right and a lot more in the middle
yes, polls should tell how many are polled so you can decide if it really is repersentative
i worked for gallup, the real answers are strange
They are statistics. That's all they are. If people will believe that the Beverly Hillbillies are real, don't even TRY to blame opinion polls for what people choose to believe.
And it's the individual's responsibility to be accountable for their own actions. The " heads in Government and the news media" will also use them in good ways too. There just statistics. Finite math. Nothing more.
i dont take much notice of them,i dont let them influence me,i just do my own thing